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Much of this content originated on social media. To follow news and announcements in a more timely fashion, follow me on Twitter, Notes, FarcasterBluesky, or Threads.

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  • The Ballad of the Semiconductor
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My writing (ICYMI)

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  • Boom Supersonic is hiring—see about their historic test flight below. “A small band of extremely talented and dedicated men and women made today happen.
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Companies are wealthier than nation-states. With a market cap of $2.1 trillion, there are only seven countries in the world with a wealthier GDP than Apple—if it were a country, it would be part of the G7. Microsoft isn’t far behind—with a market cap of $1.9 trillion, it would be the 10th richest country in the world. Saudi Arabia’s Saudi Aramco has a market cap more than double its country’s GDP.1

Companies don’t have borders. Multinational corporations like Amazon, Netflix, Mitsubishi, Airbus, and BP operate around the world, with offices in many countries and employees who can easily move between them thanks to relocation packages and work visas. Though nation-states remain gridlocked against refugees and NGOs struggle to relocate them, after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, companies like...

Imagine you wake up one day in the glorious techno-abundant future, powered by AI. You eagerly check your subscriber count on Substack, but to your dismay, it has fallen once again. There are now AI-generated blogs for every interest, and it’s so hard to find a niche that isn’t taken. Your obsessive focus on the history and culture of lava lamps has only won you three paid subscribers, and that includes your mom and your old college roommate.

Well, you think, ages ago I wrote for WIRED, maybe they would take a piece? You email them and instantly get a personal reply (must be an AI autoresponder). They would be happy to take submissions, and they pay $3 per word. Great, you think, that’s a good—wait. It actually...

We're excited to announce our February book discussion featuring Bryan Caplan's Build, Baby, Build: The Science and Ethics of Housing Regulation and Open Borders: The Science and Ethics of Immigration

Pathways to Progress is a community of individuals committed to understanding and contributing to human prosperity. Through our discussions, we examine technological and scientific innovation, economic development, and their role in advancing human prosperity. Each month, we read selected book(s), followed by a Q&A event with the author. Previous books include Starved for Science by Robert Paarlberg, Where's My Flying Car? by J. Storrs Hall, and Stubborn Attachments by Tyler Cowen. We also host speaker events with guests such as Jason Crawford, Matt Clancy, and Heidi Williams. Most speaker events are recorded and available on our YouTube channel.

Here's our February schedule:

  • Discussion Meeting 1: Tuesday,
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Much of this content originated on social media. To follow news and announcements in a more timely fashion, follow me on Twitter, Threads, Bluesky, or Farcaster.

Contents

  • Jobs and fellowships
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  • Atlas Shrugged and the irreplaceable founder
  • Pumping stations and civic pride
  • “Thoughts on the eve of AGI”
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Jobs and fellowships

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Much of this content originated on social media. To follow news and announcements in a more timely fashion, follow me on TwitterThreadsBluesky, or Farcaster.

Contents

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  • We are not close to providing for everyone’s “needs”
  • The printing press and the Internet
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  • Five hot takes about progress
  • What could have been, for SF
  • Quick thoughts on AI
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My writing (ICYMI)

Jobs and fellowships

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“But you can’t have a story where everyone is happy and everything is perfect! Stories need conflict!

I get this a lot in response to my idea that we need fewer dystopias in sci-fi, and more visions of a future we actually want to live in and are inspired to build.

The objection makes no sense to me. Here are several ways that you can write a compelling, exciting story without implying that technology makes the world worse on the whole, or that the main feature of new technology is doom:

  1. Tell a man vs. nature story. Seveneves, The Martian, Hail Mary, Lucifer’s Hammer. There’s no villain necessarily, just a disaster situation that people have to overcome using brains and technology. Or tell a tale of exploration and discovery, such
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H-1B visas have recently been In The News. 

Elon Musk is vocally in favor of expanding the program. Steve Bannon is opposed. Trump says he’s a big believer in H-1B visas, though he moved to restrict them during his first term. Bernie Sanders has also joined the fray, saying Musk just wants cheap immigrant labor.

It seemed worthwhile spending some time summarizing what we do - and do not - know about H-1B visas and their effects on the American labor market.

Sharing because it seems relevant to figuring out the likely economic impact from AI:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TkWCKzWjcbfGzdNK5/applying-traditional-economic-thinking-to-agi-a-trilemma