Yeah, I think Oster is great. I think I only differ with her in two respects:
As you noted, she sometimes seems to imply "absence of evidence is evidence of absence".
I think she's too quick to dismiss PROBIT. In Cribsheet, she notes that the IQ measurements at 6.5 might be biased since the evaluators were not blinded. But she doesn't mention the audit results or the teacher evaluation results. None of these were significant, but every single subtest was positive, and had surprisingly large effects once you account for the fact that the intervention had such
Yeah, I think Oster is great. I think I only differ with her in two respects:
- As you noted, she sometimes seems to imply "absence of evidence is evidence of absence".
- I think she's too quick to dismiss PROBIT. In Cribsheet, she notes that the IQ measurements at 6.5 might be biased since the evaluators were not blinded. But she doesn't mention the audit results or the teacher evaluation results. None of these were significant, but every single subtest was positive, and had surprisingly large effects once you account for the fact that the intervention had such
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