Everyone knows the industrial revolution occurred centuries ago and involved steam engines. That was just the warm up. We are now a decade into the ~sixth and final industrial revolution. We are in the midst of a fundamental transformation in our economic civilization-scale industrial energy metabolism.
While aspects of this post are necessarily speculative, its predictions are inferences falsifiably derived from easily verifiable axioms and public information. That the inevitability of this outcome is not yet more widely accepted is a side effect of anchoring bias and decades of industrial stagnation.
The key unlock for the radical energy transformation is cheap solar power. Solar electricity is now in its fifth decade of steadily declining cost. Per doubling of production, costs have fallen a consistent 30-40% since...
We're excited to announce our September book discussion featuring After the Spike by Dean Spears and Michael Geruso.
Pathways to Progress is a community of individuals committed to understanding and contributing to human prosperity. Through our discussions, we examine technological and scientific innovation, economic development, and their role in advancing human prosperity. Each month, we read selected book(s), followed by a Q&A event with the author. Previous books include Pieces of the Action by Vannevar Bush, Where's My Flying Car? by J. Storrs Hall, and Stubborn Attachments by Tyler Cowen. We also host speaker events with guests such as Jason Crawford, Matt Clancy, and Saloni Dattani. Most speaker events are recorded and available on YouTube and Spotify.
Here's our schedule:
Worker cooperatives are firms that, unlike traditional firms, are run democratically. This means that instead of the owner of the firm deciding who manages the workers, the workers become part owner and get a say in how the firm is run. This has some advantages, such as workers working harder and productivity appearing to increase.
You might be asking yourself: won't workers become lazy since the profit is shared with their colleagues, which means they only get a small proportion of the fruits of their individual labor? According to the free-rider hypothesis, rational and self-interested agents will always have an incentive to put in less effort and be a parasite to the efforts of others. That’s literally the first lesson of game-theory...
Seeking a freelance project manager to help me publish and launch my book, The Techno-Humanist Manifesto.
I have a book deal with a major academic publisher and a deadline this fall. You will help me figure out everything we need to do to make this book a smashing success, and then keep track of it and get it done:
Must have near-superhuman organizational skills and attention to detail, I want zero balls dropped on this project. Experience with publishing projects is a bonus.
Will gladly pay market rates for this work. Apply here.
We're excited to announce our August book discussion featuring Technology and the Rise of Great Powers by Jeffrey Ding.
Pathways to Progress is a community of individuals committed to understanding and contributing to human prosperity. Through our discussions, we examine technological and scientific innovation, economic development, and their role in advancing human prosperity. Each month, we read selected book(s), followed by a Q&A event with the author. Previous books include Pieces of the Action by Vannevar Bush, Where's My Flying Car? by J. Storrs Hall, and Stubborn Attachments by Tyler Cowen. We also host speaker events with guests such as Jason Crawford, Matt Clancy, and Saloni Dattani. Most speaker events are recorded and available on YouTube and Spotify.
Here's our schedule:
We're excited to announce our July book discussion featuring Pieces of the Action by Vannevar Bush with a foreword from Ben Reinhardt.
Pathways to Progress is a community of individuals committed to understanding and contributing to human prosperity. Through our discussions, we examine technological and scientific innovation, economic development, and their role in advancing human prosperity. Each month, we read selected book(s), followed by a Q&A event with the author. Previous books include Starved for Science by Robert Paarlberg, Where's My Flying Car? by J. Storrs Hall, and Stubborn Attachments by Tyler Cowen. We also host speaker events with guests such as Jason Crawford, Matt Clancy, and Saloni Dattani. Most speaker events are recorded and available on YouTube and Spotify.
Here's our schedule:
Note: This is an in-depth historical essay recently posted on my Substack, Novum. It's a deep dive into the fears and anxieties of the years 1900-1914, a period called "the vertigo years" by historian Philipp Blom. As I explore in the piece, it has some surprising parallels to our own time, as we also cope with accelerating change amid our own vertigo years. I thought it would be of interest to the progress studies community. If you found it worth your time, please consider subscribing to my work.
If you had to pick a period that most closely resembles how we experience life today, the start...
Note: this is a crosspost from my Substack, Positive Sum.
I'm spending the next six months reading 30+ books about innovation policy, trying to understand a perspective I've been disregarding my whole career.
Our tech policy debates are stuck because we're talking past each other. Arguments continually circle back to one thing: whether regulation will harm innovation.
Usually, us leftists see “protecting innovation” as a weak, catch-all excuse used by people on the right. A superficial one at best, a cover for greed at worst.
But now, because of progress writers, AI, and my decade in government, I am intensely curious:
What actually is the nature of innovation? Which regulations helped or hurt? How do you prevent the kind of public backlash that killed nuclear power? What types of private governance actually...
This is a linkpost for https://rootsofprogress.org/more-great-speakers-join-progress-conference-2025/
Progress Conference 2025 is on track to once again be a main event for the progress community, now bringing together well over 300 attendees. Over the last two months we’ve added:
When I first discovered how easy it is to take a train from Philly to DC, I wished I had known about this convenient travel option sooner. As someone who has made this journey countless times for both business and leisure, I can confidently say that the train is hands down the best way to travel between Philadelphia and Washington, DC.
How to Go from Philly to DC by Train?
Whether you’re headed to the capital for work or planning a weekend of sightseeing and exploring unique things to do in DC, the train offers the perfect balance of comfort, speed, and down... (read more)